NFL Week 4 Thursday Night Football

The Denver Broncos are seeking reason for optimism when they take on the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football. Denver is awaiting the return of starting quarterback Drew Lock, who injured his shoulder in Week 2 and could miss multiple weeks. Jeff Driskel was ineffective and replaced by Brett Rypien in a 28-10 loss to the Buccaneers last Sunday, and Rypien will get the start this week. The Jets come off a demoralizing 36-7 loss to the Colts in which quarterback Sam Darnold had two interceptions returned for touchdowns and the defense allowed at least 27 points for the third straight week.

 

Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium. The game is a pick’em in the latest Broncos vs. Jets odds at William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 39.5. Before locking in any Jets vs. Broncos picks or NFL predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine’s all-time No. 1 NFL expert, Mike Tierney, has to say.

A national sportswriter whose work appears in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He prefers to evaluate each game from the underdog’s point of view and has used that philosophy to dominate the NFL, going 66-44 against the spread in 2019 and 63-46 in 2018.

Tierney entered the 2020 season with a 282-222 record at SportsLine (2016-19) on all NFL picks, returning $3,704 to $100 players, and is 11-7 in his past 18 NFL against-the-spread picks. He has a sharp eye for the tendencies of the Jets, entering this matchup on a 10-6 run on against the spread picks for or against New York. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Tierney has locked in on Broncos vs. Jets from every angle and released another confident against the spread pick. You can visit SportsLine now to see it. Here are several NFL betting lines from William Hill and trends for Jets vs. Broncos:

Broncos vs. Jets spread: PK
Broncos vs. Jets over-under: 39.5
Broncos vs. Jets money line: Denver -145, New York +125
DEN: Rookie WR Jerry Jeudy has at least four catches in all three games.
NYJ: WR Braxton Berrios has more catches (10) and yards (123) in the past two games than all of last year.

Why the Broncos can cover

Denver is 5-0 against the spread in its last five games after scoring fewer than 15 points in its previous game, and the Jets allow 31.3 per contest. Tight end Noah Fant and rookie receiver Jerry Jeudy led the way last Sunday with five catches apiece as the quarterbacks spread the ball around. Royce Freeman also can make plays out of the backfield, while running back Melvin Gordon had at least 70 yards in the first two games before facing the Bucs’ elite run defense.

The Broncos are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games in October, and the defense should control a New York offense that is last in the league in total offense (263.7 yards per game), passing offense (175.3) and scoring (12.3). Shelby Harris has two sacks, while Bradley Chubb is finding his footing after surgery to repair a torn ACL. Chubb had 12 sacks as a rookie in 2018 before injuring his knee last year. Tackle Mike Purcell clogs the middle for the eighth-ranked run defense.

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